Dr. Sam Mullins has a new article on “The Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Terrorism and Counter-Terrorism:  Reassessing the Evidence” recently published by the European Institute of CT and Conflict Prevention in their  EICTP Research Study: Key Determinants in the Era of COVID-19 and Beyond. Trajectory, Disruption and the Way Forward. Volume II.

According to Mullins, “public commentary on this issue has generally suffered from failing to give due consideration to conflicting information; ignoring existing, long-term trends and alternative, explanatory factors; conflating correlation with causation; relying too heavily on theoretically-driven inferences and making assumptions beyond the available data.”

Read the full article (pages 85-102)

Dr. Sam Mullins is a professor at the Daniel K. Inouye Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies (DKI APCSS). The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not represent the views of DKI APCSS, the US Department of Defense or the US government.